The Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves will deliver this year’s Spring ‘Forecast’, previously known as the Spring Statement, tomorrow Tuesday 3 March at approximately 12.30 in the afternoon. The Institute will be reacting on the day with coverage of the key announcements on our dedicated UK fiscal events webpage, followed by more detail in next Monday’s Chartered Accountants Tax News.
The expectation is that this year’s speech from the Chancellor will not contain any major tax policy changes or surprises. This follows the announcement at the Autumn Budget that performance against fiscal rules will only be assessed once every year in the autumn.
Tomorrow’s forecast from the Chancellor and the Office for Budget Responsibility is therefore expected to be an interim update on the economy and public finances, without policy changes, unless, as the Chancellor said in November, there is ‘a significant change to the economic outlook that requires a response.’ Will global disruption in recent days mean that the Chancellor needs to increase defence spending? What we do expect tomorrow is the launch of several tax consultations which were previously announced on the day of the 2025 Autumn Budget.
The House of Commons Library has published a briefing on the Spring Forecast, whilst the Institute for Fiscal Studies has published a useful article ahead of tomorrow. And, in light of the events that occurred in the run up to the 2025 Autumn Budget, HM Treasury has published a review of Budget information security.