In this week’s public policy bulletin we take a look at the interest rate hikes announced this week by both the US Federal Reserve and Bank of England. We also examine the findings of the latest Wholesale Price Index from the CSO as well as a new initiative from the Government to increase SME access to public procurement opportunities. In addition, we review the Northern Ireland economic output statistics for Quarter 4 2022.
US Federal Reserve and Bank of England both announce further interest rate hikes
This week the US Federal Reserve announced that its benchmark interest rate would rise another quarter of a percentage point to a range of 4.75 per cent to 5 per cent – its ninth consecutive rate rise and the highest rate since 2007. In a statement accompanying the announcement, the Federal Reserve noted how recent developments in the banking sector “are likely to result in tighter credit conditions for households and businesses and to weigh on economic activity, hiring, and inflation”. Meanwhile, the Bank of England raised interest rates by a further quarter of a percentage point on Thursday bringing its headline rate to 4.25 per cent.
Wholesale electricity prices fall while food prices rise in year to February 2023
In its latest Wholesale Price Index for February 2023, the CSO has reported that wholesale electricity prices decreased by 1.8 per cent since January 2023 and were 9.2 per cent lower in February 2023 when compared with February 2022. However, in the same period, producer prices for food products rose by 6.2 per cent meaning that producer prices for products sold on the domestic market are now 10.6 per cent higher than they were in February 2022. Some of the most notable changes in producer prices for food products over the 12 months to February 2023 include dairy (+23.8 per cent), fish (+18.2 per cent), fruit & vegetables (+18.2 per cent) and grain (+12.2 per cent).
Government launch new initiative to support greater SME participation in public procurement opportunities
Cabinet have this week approved a new government initiative aimed at supporting SME participation in public procurement. The initiative will act as an update to previous guidance, which introduced a number of measures aimed at assisting SMEs to access public procurement opportunities. The new provisions include:
- an increase to the threshold at which all contracts for goods and services must be advertised on eTenders from €25,000 to €50,000 (ex VAT)
- an increase to the threshold at which all contracts for works must be advertised on eTenders from €50,000 to €200,000 (ex VAT)
- enhanced measures that public bodies should take to promote transparency, including a requirement to publish contract award information for all procurements over €25,000
- specific measures that public bodies should take to promote SME participation, including the use of proportionate financial capacity and insurance requirements
Latest Northern Ireland economic output statistics
This week saw the publication of the latest economic output statistics by the Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency (NISRA). According to the publication, output in the services sector increased by 1 per cent in real terms over the fourth quarter of 2022 and by 1.8 per cent over the year putting NI service output at a record high. Meanwhile, production sector output decreased by 0.6 per cent over the fourth quarter of 2022 and by 1 per cent over the year. Retail output saw an increase of 2.2 per cent in Quarter 4 2022 but a decrease of 2.3 per cent over the year.
When comparing current output with the pre-Coronavirus pandemic levels seen in Quarter 4 2019, NI production output is 4.5 per cent above its pre-pandemic level and NI service output is 6.2 per cent above its pre-pandemic level. In contrast, NI retail output remains 4.5 per cent below its pre-pandemic level seen in Quarter 4 2019.
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