In this week’s public policy bulletin we take a look at the latest statistics on the growth in house prices from the CSO. We also report on this week’s meeting of the Irish Financial Stability Group following the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. In addition, we review unemployment rates across the OECD as well as the latest batch of Northern Ireland Labour Market Statistics.
6.1 per cent growth in house prices in 12 months to January 2023
The CSO this week released its latest Residential Property Price Index (RPPI) in which it found that residential property prices across Ireland rose by an average of 6.1 per cent in the 12 months to January 2023. This figure is however down from the 7.7 per cent rate recorded in the year to December 2022, and from the high values of 15.1 per cent seen in the 12 months to February and March 2022. Nonetheless, according to the RPPI, residential property prices in Dublin saw an increase of 4.3 per cent in the period to January 2023, while property prices outside of Dublin were up an average of 7.4 per cent in the same period. The median price of a dwelling purchased in the 12 months to January 2023 was €305,000.
Irish Financial Stability Group (FSG) meets to assess impact of Silicon Valley Bank collapse
Following the announcement of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), a US technology focused lender, the Irish Financial Stability Group (FSG) met on Monday, 13 March, to assess the situation and any impacts on the Irish financial system. The FSG consists of senior officials from the Department of Finance, NTMA and the Central Bank of Ireland, and is chaired by the Secretary General of the Department of Finance. Given that SVB had a significant number of Irish businesses among its clients, the Irish FSG has established a sub-group to co-ordinate enhanced monitoring and reporting on the domestic impacts arising from the failure of the bank. In a statement commenting on the meeting, Minister for Finance Michael McGrath stressed that while “it is important to highlight the limited direct impact on the Irish financial system of the failure of Silicon Valley Bank, the retail banks operating in Ireland have no exposure” to SVB.
Unemployment rate across OECD hits record low
The OECD unemployment rate remained at 4.9 percent in January 2023, the seventh consecutive month at this record low since the organisation’s report on unemployment rates began. The unemployment rate was stable in 12 of 38 OECD countries, but close to its record low in only 7 countries, including Canada, France, Germany, and the United States. The number of unemployed persons declined to 33.2 million, remaining close to the record low reached in July 2022. Relative to men, the unemployment rate for women was higher in 18 OECD countries, with the largest gender gaps recorded in Colombia, Costa Rica, Greece, Spain and Turkey. By contrast, 16 OECD countries recorded a lower unemployment rate for women than for men. You can read the full report here.
Northern Ireland Labour Market statistics
The Northern Ireland Statistics and Research Agency this week released its latest batch of labour market statistics for the region. According to the release, the number of employees receiving pay through HMRC PAYE in NI in February 2023 was 787,200, a 0.4 per cent increase over the month and a 2.2 per cent increase over the year. Moreover, HMRC PAYE data indicated that NI employees had a median monthly pay of £2,047 in February 2023, an increase of £10 (0.5 per cent) over the month and an increase of £134 (7.0 per cent) over the year. Meanwhile, the claimant count rate remained constant for the tenth consecutive month with the seasonally adjusted number of people on the count standing at 35,600, a decrease of 0.1 per cent from the previous month’s revised figure and representing 3.8 per cent of the total workforce.