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Sustainability
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COP28 – The UAE Consensus - "the beginning of the end for fossil fuels”

  In the early hours of 13 December, an agreement was reached in Dubai at the 28th Conference of Parties to the UN Climate Convention, COP28. The UAE Consensus included a commitment to transition away from all fossil fuels, following intense negotiations over two weeks, and a heavily criticized first draft that was released on Monday. The revised – and final – version represents the first time in COP history that words ‘fossil fuels’ appeared in an agreement. It also included a specific target on tripling renewables and doubling energy efficiency by 2030. “It is an enhanced, balanced — but make no mistake — historic package to accelerate climate action,” COP28 President, Dr Sultan Al Jaber, said, after delegates rose to their feet in to applaud the deal. This COP is reportedly the most significant since the Paris Agreement in 2015, when the countries of the world agreed to limit global warming to 1.5°  above pre-industrial levels. Although not without criticism (natural gas is still identified as a transition fuel, despite causing global warming, for example), responses to the agreement have been positive. Speaking on Irish radio, Minister for Climate, Environment and Communications, Eamon Ryan, T.D., said that the deal is not just about transition away from fossil fuels, but also “building a new, renewable and energy-efficient future and critically changing the entire financial architecture in the world to make that happen everywhere in the world.” Marie Donnelly, Chair of the Climate Change Advisory Council, described the COP process as defeating  the ‘very visible attempt’ by the fossil fuel industry to derail the process and deny the science: “From my perspective, that is a real success… this is the signal. This is effectively the starting gun. Now, we can be serious about the discussion of phasing out fossil fuels.” COPs have come in for much criticism for being too large, too bureaucratic and too much at risk of being influenced by major polluters, the lobbyists of which can outnumber the collective representatives from those countries most vulnerable to the impacts of climate change; however, all parties at the climate summits must agree on every word of the agreements, and to some it underscores how much these UN conferences can achieve. Speaking about this agreement, Special climate envoy to Prime Minister Mia Mottley of Barbados Avinash Persaud stated “When the dust settles and dawn breaks, this will be seen as one of the most historic COPs."  As parties prepared to leave the two-week conference, UN climate chief, Simon Stiell, who described the agreement as “the beginning of the end for fossil fuels”, reminded governments of the next steps:   “We must get on with the job of putting the Paris agreement to full work…In early 2025, countries must deliver new NDCs [‘nationally determined contributions’, i.e. efforts by each country to reduce national greenhouse gas emissions and adapt to the impacts of climate change]. It must bring us into alignment with a 1.5C world. We will keep working to improve the process.” His final message, though, was to ‘ordinary people everywhere’: “Everyone one of you is making a difference. Your voices and determination will be more important than ever. We are still in this race. We will be with you every step of the way.”   Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre. 

Dec 13, 2023
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Sustainability
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COP28 - Monday 11 - "We can't accept this"

  Tensions rose at COP28, the UN climate summit in Dubai, with the publication of a new draft agreement, announced at 2pm GMT. The draft was published after COP President, Sultan Al Jaber, had been meeting with all countries in a format called ‘the Majlis’. An Arabic term, ‘Majlis’ are used to refer to a council or a special gathering, typically bringing together a community of elders. Ireland’s Environment Minister, Eamon Ryan, represented the EU in a Majlis of climate ministers, who were encouraged by Sultan Al Jaber to sit in a circle and speak “heart to heart”, to break the deadlock in phasing out fossil fuels. Earlier, the head of the United Nations, António Guterres, had called on world leaders to “end the fossil fuel age” as he returned to COP28 for the final days of the summit. According to the draft agreement, fuel production and consumption will be reduced by 2050 in line with scientific advice. It proposes an approach that “could” include “reducing both consumption and production of fossil fuels, in a just, orderly and equitable manner so as to achieve net zero by, before, or around 2050 in keeping with the science”. While the current text of the agreement avoids the contentious terms ‘phase out’ and ‘phase down’, the wording still requires countries to reduce their fossil fuel production; however, the text has been criticized for being “grossly insufficient.” “We can’t accept the text,” Minister Eamon Ryan reportedly said, adding: “That ‘could’ kills everything”. Other news made headlines from the negotiations at the climate summit: The High-Level Champions and the Marrakech Partnership have released a report called '2030 Climate Solutions: An Implementation Roadmap.' It contains a set of solutions on measures that must be scaled up and replicated in order to halve global emissions, address adaptation gaps and increase climate resilience. Next year’s COP – COP29 – is to take place in Baku, Azerbaijan. Article COP28 draft agreement drops phaseout of fossil fuels (Financial Times) Elements of new Cop28 text are ‘fully unacceptable’, say EU climate chiefs (The Guardian) ‘We can’t accept this’ – Eamon Ryan says proposed Cop28 agreement needs to be ‘radically’ improved (Irish Independent) Podcast In the second of two special episodes from ICAEW, Insights In Focus shares news and views from COP28 in Dubai. guest host Mark Rowland is joined by Sarah Reay, ICEAW Climate Change Manager, ICAEW; Jessica Fries, Executive Chair, A4S; and Mardi McBrien, Chief of Strategic Affairs and Capacity Building, IFRS Foundation.  Counter The Climate Action Commitment Counter, published today by COP organisers, has provided a breakdown of financial pledges and contributions so far: Loss and Damage:$726 million Green Climate Fund:$3.5 billion (up to $12.8 billion) Adaptation Fund:$134 million Least Developed Countries Fund:$129.3 million Special Climate Change Fund (SCCF):$31 million Renewable Energy:$5 billion Cooling:$57 million Clean Cooking:$30 million Technology:$568 million Methane:$1.2 billion Climate Finance:$30 billion from UAE, $200 million in Special Drawing Rights, and $31.6 billion from Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) Food:$3.1 billion Nature:$2.5 billion Health:$2.9 billion Water:$150 million Gender:$2.8 million Relief, Recovery and Peace:$1.2 billion Local Climate Action:$467 million   Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre. 

Dec 11, 2023
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Sustainability
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COP28 - Saturday/Sunday - Food comes of age

  Saturday at COP28 focused on nature, land use, and oceans, while Sunday was the first-ever COP day dedicated entirely to food, agriculture and water. Despite food generating one-third of global greenhouse gas emissions, agriculture has attracted very little climate finance. However, since the beginning of this COP, over $3 billion in climate finance has been pledged for food and agriculture. The Dubai climate summit in which “when food came of age as a central means of responding to the climate emergency”, according to Edward Davey, partnerships director at the Food and Land Use Coalition, also saw another first: the publication by the UN Food & Agriculture Organisation (FAO) of a global food systems’ roadmap. The roadmap aims to ensure the world keeps to with 1.5 degrees of temperature rise and transform the world’s agrifood system from a ‘net emitter’ to a ‘carbon sink’ by 2050. The FOA identified 10 priority areas – such as livestock, soil and water, crops, diets and fisheries – where the roadmap can help push the world closer to achieving ‘Zero Hunger’, the second of the 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). COP28 in numbers $3.8 trillion: value of crops and livestock production lost due to disasters, including floods and droughts, over the past three decades. $3+ billion: amount of climate finance pledged for food and agriculture since the start of COP28. 134: number of countries to have signed Emirates Declaration on Sustainable Agriculture, Resilient Food Systems, and Climate Action, committing to integrate food into their climate plans by 2025. 70: the percentage of the world’s land that the above countries cover. $200 million: amount of investment pledged for programmes to low-methane animals and develop less potent feed additives (Bezos Earth Fund is also investing in wearable sensors that measure how much cows emit). $200 million: amount pledged by the Gates foundation and the United Arab Emirates to help smallholders in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia adapt to climate change. 47: the percentage by which global greenhouse gas emissions from livestock will grow by 2050 from 2015 levels if no action is taken. 18: countries which announced that they would align their national climate and biodiversity planning frameworks under the COP28 Joint Statement on Climate, Nature and People. Articles The world’s top five meat companies’ emissions are estimated to be significantly larger than those of the oil firms Shell and BP. The dairy industry’s 3.4 per cent contribution to global human-induced emissions is a higher share than aviation (The Guardian) Ireland is committed to continuing sustainable food production and becoming climate neutral as fast as possible, says Minister for Agriculture Charlie McConalogue (Irish Times)   Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre.   

Dec 11, 2023
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Sustainability
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COP28 - Friday 8 - Negotiations begin

  After a rest day on Thursday, COP28 resumed on Friday 8 December for Week 2 of the global climate summit in Dubai. The second week is the critical week for COPs as it is when government officials negotiate the text of the final agreement. All eyes will be on what the agreement will say about fossil fuels, whether ‘phased out’ or ‘phased down’. Today at COP28 was dedicated to “youth, children, education and skills”. Negotiations will continue over the weekend, focussing on nature on Saturday and on food, agriculture and water on Sunday.   COP28 in numbers $57 billion: The number of financial pledges made so far at this COP. 50: the percentage by which Dubai plans to cut carbon emissions by the end of this decade, compared with 2018 levels. 118: the number of governments that have now pledged to triple the world’s renewable energy capacity by 2030 as part of the Global Pledge on Renewables and Energy Efficiency (China and India did not join). 9: the number of new countries now signed up to the Powering Past Coal Alliance, the group of nations pledging to phase out “unabated” coal power first founded at COP26 in Glasgow. 4: the number of new countries – including Spain, Kenya, Samoa and Columbia – to have joined the Beyond Oil and Gas Alliance group pledging to phase out all fossil fuels. Definitions Unabated  - “doing nothing to remove carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases from oil, natural gas and coal emissions.” (New York Times). This word will appear with increasing frequency during the negotiations this week, with some commentators saying it could ‘determine the world's future’. Youth-washing  - Similar to greenwashing, this term describes the practice of showboating young voices but not paying attention to them. Watch or listen The Zero podcast from Bloomberg with Akshat Rathi who interviewed Al Gore on how to break the stranglehold petrostates have over COP. Gore also explains why big emitters can no longer hide. Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre.   

Dec 11, 2023
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Public Policy
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COP28 - The Bullet Train

"We need COP to deliver a bullet train to speed up climate action" Simon Stiell, UN Climate Change Executive Secretary COP28. As COP28 prepares for a rest day on Thursday in advance of the week-long negotiations that will get underway on Friday in Dubai on the language of the final COP agreement, focus shifted onto a new arrival in the UAE. While unlikely to attend the summit, President Vladimir Putin arrived in Abu Dhabi on his first trip to the Middle East since the invasion of Ukraine, reportedly to garner support in the from two major oil producers. Of potentially greater concern to many delegates at this COP, however, is the global stocktake. At this COP governments will take a decision on the stocktake, which is the process for countries and stakeholders to see where they’re collectively making progress towards meeting the goals of the Paris Climate Change Agreement – and where they’re not. “We can only overcome the climate crisis by ditching business-as-usual” Stiell stated.  “All governments must give their negotiators clear marching orders: we need highest ambition, not point-scoring or lowest common denominator politics.” Pointing out that only 50 countries have National Adaptation Plans, Stiell went on to describe the starting text of the Global Stocktake as just a “grab bag of wish lists and heavy on posturing”, urging government to deliver more and go further. “The tools are all there on the table, the technologies and solutions exist. It’s time for governments and negotiators to pick them up and put them to work.” The Global Stocktake – FAQ What is the global stocktake? The Paris Agreement 2015 committed countries  to take serious action on the climate crisis. Parties to the Agreement, some 196 countries, signed up to keep global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels. The global stocktake was set up to monitor progress against this target. Essentially, it is a global-scale audit of the world’s progress towards the goals of the Paris Agreement. When does it take place? Under the Paris Agreement, countries are to check their progress in 2023, and every five years after that. The first-ever Stocktake is set to conclude at this COP in Dubai. Three events have already taken place at this COP to discuss the stocktake. What do we know so far? A technical report from the stocktake published in September 2023. It shows that we are off track to limit global warming to 1.5°. Our situation is urgent, and countries need to take action to mitigate and adapt and implement. What is meant by ‘mitigate’, ‘ adapt’ and ‘implement’? Mitigate: we need to drastically reduce greenhouse gas emissions (e.g. by replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy sources). Adapt: we need to change our economics and societies to cope with the effects of climate change. These include heatwaves, wildfires, rising sea levels, air pollution, increased sickness, migration and biodiversity loss. Implement: we need to mobilize accessible and affordable climate finance at scale, essentially making the international financial system - including its governance - fit-for-purpose. Why is the stocktake important? The stocktake itself is not as important the global response to it. However, the manner in which countries respond to the results of the stocktake is what will make the difference in the form of higher ambition and accelerated action. Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre.   

Dec 07, 2023
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Sustainability
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COP28 - ‘Absolutely not’ ​

  Tuesday's focus at COP28 was energy and industry, the just transition, and Indigenous Peoples.  While controversy still surrounds remarks made by COP President about fossil fuels, and reports of the host country’s own plans to increase its own oil production, there was also coverage of high-level agreements at this year’s global climate summit: The second report of the Independent High Level Group on Climate Finance has been released at COP28. 'A climate finance framework: decisive action to deliver on the Paris Agreement' was co-authored by Nicholas Stern and presents a framework which it says can mobilise the estimated $2.4 trillion a year in investment required by 2030. The UK, France and a number of other countries and banks - including the World Bank and European Investment Bank (EIB) – have agreed to include more climate-resilient debt clauses in their lending. Climate-resilient debt clauses (CRDCs) allow vulnerable countries to pause debt repayments when climate disaster strikes, affording them ‘breathing space’ to recover. Welcoming the announcement, Prime Minister of Barbados Mia Mottley stated “I want to thank you for the extraordinary courage to do the right thing.  We can always bring back our debt, but we cannot bring back our society.”   Bill Gates has praised innovation at this year’s COP when he was among those attending the Climate Innovation Forum. The former CEO of Microsoft attended alongside Arvind Krishna, CEO of IBM, Kate Brandt, Chief Sustainability Officer of Google and other world leaders in the technology sector, who convened to explore cutting-edge solutions to tackle the global climate crisis. Solutions discussed included artificial intelligence (AI), satellite technology, big data, clean energy, industrial decarbonization, low-carbon hydrogen, and more. The world’s largest independent carbon crediting standards have announced a collaboration to increase the impact of activities under their standards. The pledge, published by the non-profit organisation IETA, outlines a number of activities which will help amplify the impact of carbon markets. Separately, the US regulator, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), is expected to propose the first federal guidelines for voluntary carbon credit derivatives, in a bit to “bring order to a market for the offset of emissions described as the ‘wild west’”. The value of the carbon trading market worldwide could reportedly expand to $100bn by 2030, up from $2bn in 2022. COP28 in numbers 36.8 billion: the number of metric tons of carbon dioxide that will be emitted this year from burning fossil fuels. 1.1: the percentage increase in those emissions on 2022. 1.4: the percentage increase in those emissions on 2019, before the Covid-19 pandemic.  6: the percentage increase in those emissions since the year of the Paris Agreement, according to research by the Centre for International Climate Research (Cicero) 0: the number of new power plants that should be built anywhere in the world fired by coal (the world's ‘dirtiest fuel’) according to US climate representative, John Kerry. The US has now committed to closing its existing coal power plants and not building any more of them in the future, and have joined the Powering Past Coal Alliance along with seven other countries, although it had to defends its climate leadership despite record oil and gas production (Financial Times) 60: the percentage by which much oil companies must commit to reducing their Scope 1 and 2 emissions by 2030, according to the Executive Director of the International Energy Agency Fatih Birol says 94: the percentage of oil-producing countries to have no pledges on phase out oil exploration, according to a new report from the Net-Zero Tracker. 2,456: the number of fossil fuel representatives at COP28, the largest ever to have attend the climate summit. Quote of the day “Absolutely not.” — Saudi energy minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman, on whether he would be happy to see a COP28 agreement on a “phase-down” of fossil fuels (Financial Times)   Find more news on the global climate summit our our COP28 page on Chartered Accountants Ireland's sustainability centre. 

Dec 06, 2023
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