In this week’s public policy bulletin we take a look at the latest inflation forecast from the CSO as well as a report from the Irish Fiscal Advisory Council proposing the establishment of a State pension fund. In addition, we examine a report from the ECB linking increased inflation primarily to rising profit margins across the Euro zone as well as the latest on the passage of the Work Life Balance Bill through the Houses of the Oireachtas.
Inflation rate dropped to 7 per cent in March – CSO
This week the CSO released its latest Flash Estimate for the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices in which it reported that prices in Ireland were estimated to have risen by 7 percent in the 12 months to March 2023. This however marks a reduction from the 8.1 percent rate recorded in February and marks the slowest annual rate of inflation since March 2022. Food prices are estimated to have increased by 1.1 percent in the last month and increased by 13.5 percent overall in the last 12 months. Meanwhile, energy prices are estimated to have decreased by 0.9 percent in the month and increased by 11.7 percent overall in the 12 months to March 2023.
Irish Fiscal Advisory Council (IFAC) recommends set up of State pension fund
In a report published this week, IFAC has recommended the establishment of a State pension fund to support the provision of the State pension. Warning that “the funding of the State Pension will come under increasing pressure in the coming decade as the population ages”, the report suggests raising PRSI rates by 3.5 percent over their current level as well as setting aside windfall corporation tax receipts to support the new fund. According to the report, if PRSI rates were raised by 3.5 percent now, so-called baby boomers would pay more towards their pensions while they’re still working rather than loading younger workers with even higher rates of PRSI in the future. You can read the full report here.
Rising profit margins driving up inflation more than rising wages – ECB
In a report issued this week, the European Central Bank (ECB) has contended that profits contributed more than half of the domestic price pressures in the euro area in the fourth quarter of 2022, while wages contributed less than half. According to the report, profits made up around a third of the GDP deflator from 1999-2022 but rose to two thirds of the GDP deflator by the close of 2022. The report goes on to contend that “high input prices (for example for energy) also made it easier for firms to increase their profit margins, because they make it harder to tell whether higher prices are caused by higher costs or higher margins”. A copy of the full report can be accessed here.
Work Life Balance Bill passes all stages of the Oireachtas
This week the Work Life Balance Bill formally passed all stages of the Oireachtas and will now be sent to the President to be signed into law. The Bill provides for the introduction of new rights for employees to support a better balance of family life, work life and caring responsibilities. The Bill also seeks to support those who are victims of domestic violence through the introduction of a statutory paid leave entitlement of five days. Amongst the new provisions being introduced under the Bill include:
- 5 days unpaid leave for medical care purposes for parents of children under 12, and carers
- 5 days paid leave for victims of domestic violence
- The right to request flexible working for parents and carers
- The right to request remote working for all employees
- 2 years entitlement to take time off work for breastfeeding breaks