Sustainability (often described as environment, social, governance or ‘ESG’ by finance professionals) is a fast-developing area. Chartered Accountants Ireland’s Sustainability Officer Susan Rossney looks at key trends for 2024, and speaks to thought leaders on what to expect in the year ahead.
Elections
2024 will be a year of elections. More than 60 countries representing half the world’s population - 4 billion people - will go to the polls. Voters are expected to turn out in Ireland, the US and, potentially, the UK and for elections to the European Parliament.
In the words of former UK cabinet minister for Energy, Chris Skidmore: "the climate crisis that we face is too important to politicise or to ignore." That being said, the elections are predicted to involve much political debate around ESG and environmentally-focused investing.
They are also taking place against a backdrop of ‘simmering geopolitical tensions’ – including mistrust in elections. This is according to the World Economic Forum’s 2024 global risk report, which puts extreme weather events, misinformation and disinformation, and societal polarization as the 3 risks most likely to present a material crisis on a global scale in 2024.
Policies
In early 2024, Ireland can expect a public consultation on its Climate Action Plan 2024, the fourth such plan since 2019. Circular economy measures will also come into effect. For example, under the Deposit Return Scheme starting February 2024, plastic bottles and aluminium /steel cans can be returned to retail outlets in exchange for a small deposit. Expect to see a public consultation in 2024 on the National (Climate) Adaptation Framework also, as Ireland records record-breaking weather extremes in 2023 (and see more on weather below).
2024 will also see the development of an Irish national centre for electric vehicle (EV) skills to train people to repair and maintain electric cars, bikes, scooters, trucks, buses, vans and heavy goods vehicles. (Global expectations for passenger EV sales predicts an increase of 21 percent in 2024 to 16.7 million EVs, with 70 percent of those being fully electric.)
In the UK, a consultation is pending on the design of a UK Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), a mechanism to be introduced in 2027. The EU already has a CBAM, which entered its transitional phase on 1 October 2023. A consultation is also open on a UK emissions trading scheme (ETS) markets policy.
‘Transition finance’ moving centre-stage
Transition finance is expected to increase in prominence in 2024. The term broadly refers to financing private investments to help economies and societies transition from reliance on fossil fuels. Examples of transition finance activities include green and sustainability-linked bonds and loans, but grants also come under the definition.
FCA and founder of Tactive, Gordon Naughton, is looking forward to seeing the EU start approving sizeable grant funding to large-scale sustainability projects that will have a meaningful impact on Ireland’s emissions, such as the recent EU approval of Germany’s €902 million grant to Northvolt for a battery factory.
“This is a seminal moment for the EU and represents a sizeable shift in policy” Gordon says, further commenting: “previously, grant funding within the EU was mostly focused on R&D funding and steered away from capacity building due to WTO rules. Witnessing the success of the US Inflation Reduction Act, the EU is now embracing green capacity building grants which is good for competitiveness and the planet.”
Preparing for the CSRD …
With effect from financial year beginning on or after 1 January 2024, some of the largest companies in Ireland will begin reporting under the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive ('CSRD'), and as a result, the European Sustainability Reporting Standards (‘ESRS’). The CSRD must be transposed into national law by EU Member States, including Ireland, by July 2024.
“The reporting of sustainability matters under the CSRD represents the dawn of a new era in corporate reporting for entities” says Mike O’Halloran, Technical Manager with Chartered Accountants Ireland, highlighting the important role that the CSRD will play in ensuring that the climate goals of the European Union are met. “The Directive is a key component in the EU’s goal of transforming itself into a modern, resource-efficient and competitive economy, with the aim of being climate neutral by 2050. In 2024 we expect to see companies becoming more familiar with the requirements of the Directive and of the European Sustainability Reporting Standards, and the goals of both to combat ‘greenwashing’ and false, misleading or unsubstantiated claims.”
While finance teams in larger organisations are assessing what new measures and information will be required, SMEs will also experience a ‘trickle-down’ effect from the CSRD. SMEs in the supply chains of in-scope entities can expect more queries from their in-scope partners. These may include questions about the SME’s environmental, social and governance (ESG) profile and plans.
Speaking from the UK, Chartered Accountants and Director of Blue Crane Consulting, Rosie Dunscome says that 2024 will be a critical year for accountants to get their heads around in-coming corporate sustainability reporting regulation:
“The UK government is set to make its endorsement decision on IFRS S1 and S2 by July 2024, and voluntary frameworks that look likely to shape future regulation were also launched in the latter part of 2023 in the form of the Taskforce for Nature-related Financial Disclosures recommendations and the Transition Plan Taskforce Disclosure Framework. These should all appear on an accountant’s radar in 2024.”
…and the CSDDD
Provisional agreement has also been reached on the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD). This aims to foster sustainable and responsible corporate behaviour throughout global value chains. It applies to EU and non-EU companies with a turnover over €150 million and smaller companies in certain sectors.
Outside the EU, other countries are implementing national legislation with similar aims, from New Zealand’s proposed modern slavery reporting legislation and Mexico’s new forced labour import prohibition.
Greater scrutiny on sustainability claims
Following initiatives to address greenwashing by, among others, IOSCO, the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) and the EU in 2023, the US Securities and Exchange Commission is expected to announce its long-awaited proposed corporate disclosure rules for enhanced climate disclosures during the first half of 2024.
Overall, companies can expect greater scrutiny on all sustainability-related information they produce.
Carbon markets in the news
One item expected to be in news this year is the voluntary carbon markets (VCMs). Talks at the global climate summit COP28 in Dubai in December failed to agree on new rules which would allow the launch of a centralised system, run by the UN, allowing for countries and companies to begin offsetting their carbon emissions and trading those offsets. It is expected that negotiations will continue through 2024 and at COP29 in Baku, Azerbaijan.
Litigation
Climate and environmental issues are likely to come before the courts once again in 2024.
In Ireland a new division of the High Court has been established that is dedicated to Planning and Environmental cases.
Globally, there are reportedly more than 2,300 pending or decided climate cases. These range from small island states taking a case to the UN maritime court to seek protection for the world’s oceans against climate change, to young people taking 32 countries to court over climate inaction.
A growing number of countries are considering introducing laws to make ecocide a crime: a new standalone crime of ecocide is being proposed in the Scottish parliament in a consultation which will run until February 9 202, and a test case of France’s new ecocide law is currently in the courts.
Jobs and skills
The rise in reporting and disclosure requirements is likely to have an impact on finance professionals looking to upskill themselves and their staff, and/or to hire new team members.
The lack of skills and education was a recurring theme in 2023, with the National Skills Bulletin 2023 reporting that the skills mix of Ireland’s workforce will need to evolve as industries in Ireland address issues such as sustainable sourcing, circular lifecycles, energy efficiency, and waste minimization. ‘Climate Action and Sustainable Development’ is one of the new subjects being considered as part of an open consultation on draft specifications for six Leaving Certificate Subjects to be introduced in schools in 2025.
"With new sustainability regulations, as well as nature moving up the agenda for businesses and governments, accountants will need to learn the language of sustainability and how to apply this in their organisation’s context." says Sarah Reay, Climate Change Manager with ICAEW. "Capacity building across all organisation is likely to be a big focus in 2024".
The International Federation of Accountants (IFAC) has also called on the accountancy profession to help build capacity and advance on education.
Outside of accounting and finance, a growth in jobs in areas like renewable energy will require upskilling of workforces with 36.2 million people working in clean energy in 2023 (6 million more than 2019). Demand for more employees in this field is likely to rise, with global upskilling is required to meet it.
Greater focus on assurance
It is also possible that 2024 will see a growing demand for ‘real data’ like geospatial data and satellite imagery to prove companies are, e.g. sourcing cocoa from non-deforestation-prone regions.
In Europe, with the introduction of the CSRD, there will be a mandatory requirement for the assurance of sustainability reporting.
“Initially there will be ‘limited assurance’ required, although ‘reasonable assurance’ is expected to be introduced at some stage in the future”, explains Dee Moran, Professional Accountancy Lead with Chartered Accountants Ireland.
‘In-scope companies will need to undertake an assessment of their readiness for assurance and have the appropriate processes and controls in place to ensure they are in a position to comply with the new regulatory obligations. We predict that this will be a significant challenge for companies needing to comply in 2024 as they carry out these assessments, so companies should begin this sooner rather than later to ensure they are compliant.”
More renewable energy
2024 is set to be a critical year in renewable energy in Ireland. Calls on the Government to remove bottlenecks and push through projects have been made to ensure the scale-up of offshore wind, which is needed for Ireland to achieve its climate goals.
Marie Joyce, Chief Operations Officer & Chief Financial Officer of NTR plc thinks that 2024 will bring an ever-increasing focus and understanding of the benefits of clean energy (wind, solar, battery storage) for us all: “The benefits of clean power are significant, not just in reducing national CO2 emissions, but also in reducing air pollution. These assets also present a great opportunity to deliver a positive impact on Nature.”
One of those benefits is cost. The costs of global renewable power generation continued to decrease through 2022, despite rising materials and equipment costs. According to the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), in 2022 solar PV cost 29 percent less than the cheapest fossil fuel-fired solution.
Nature, biodiversity and business
According to the World Resource Institute over half of global GDP – $44 trillion – relies on nature, but only 17 percent of total investment in nature comes from the private sector.
We can expect to hear more from World Resources Institute (WRI) in 2024, as it researches how business can finance investment in Nature-based Solutions (NBS). Beginning in 2024, the Taskforce on Nature-related Financial Disclosures (TNFD) will track voluntary market adoption of its recommendations through an annual status update report.
Adapting to record-breaking climate events
All indicators point to the relentless rise in global temperatures to continue in 2024 with experts forecasting “Every year for the rest of your life will end up being one of the hottest in the record.”
The changing climate will also continue to bring record-breaking droughts, wildfires, floods and heavy rain.
In addition to the human cost of these events, the European Environmental Agency (EEA) predicts that weather- and climate-related extremes will see economic losses of assets increase as severe weather- and climate-related extreme events intensify further. (These events caused €52.3 billion of economic losses of assets in 2022.)
Historically low levels of water in the Panama Canal, the Mississippi and the Rhine had ramifications for the movement of goods in 2023, and similar impacts are expected in 2024. At the other extreme, flooding in Ireland caused enough damage for the Government to introduce an Emergency Business Flooding Schemes for small businesses.
It is likely that insurance prices in Europe will also rise, according to the chief executive of Lloyd’s of London, as extreme weather changes the way insurers thought about climate risks.
The need for more resilience in supply chains is coming to the fore as companies grapple with understanding how different scenarios will affect their business.
Overall, a busy year ahead.
Keep up to date with on sustainability with information, guidance and supports to understand sustainability and meet the challenges it presents in our online Sustainability Centre at Chartered Accountants Ireland
LOADING...